Oh, boy, oh, boy! Real scientific controversy!



 I would like to take the opportunity to bore you yet again with
  one of my sermons.  This diatribe is ostensibly in response to
  a request for comparing AM1 and PM3 charges.  I'll come back to
  that via a roundabout route.  It is quite long and involved, so
  want to save it and read it later.
 Let me once again precede this message with the information that I
  spent time with Michael Dewar at the U. of Texas as a post-doc.,
  so my opinions are "tarnished" by that experience.
 As a person whose major research emphasis is development of semi-
  empirical parameters, I have had occasion to directly examine
  the MNDO, AM1, and PM3 parameters in close detail.  I am also
  familiar with many of the principal people involved in the der-
  ivation of these methods.  The basic contention, that I will
  hopefully support to some extent below, is that PM3 has left
  chemistry behind in a quest for improved results.  At first,
  this statement may seem a bit strange, but stay with me.
 1.  The HF quantum mechanical method is based on a series of rel-
     atively crude approximations that fortuitously give results
     that are not too far off from experiment.  If we operate on
     the assumption that the model has chemical validity (and we
     must to proceed further), it must be explainable in terms of
     chemical trends and phenomena.  In the present case, this
     means that the parameter values themselves must be reasonable
     in the context of other elements: the parameters must exhibit
     PERIODICITY.  It should be possible to derive a set of trial
     parameters given an understanding of the implementation of
     the scheme within the NDDO approximation and the values of
     nearby elements.  This has indeed formed the basis of the
     Dewar approach to parameterization.  For the great majority
     of cases, the parameters from Dewar and coworkers follow
     more or less periodic trends.  The values are not exactly
     periodic, but vary due to the crudity of the model and the
     variety of chemistry described.  (This variance is easy to
     rationalize if one realizes that, for example, the AM1 sulfur
     parameters must accomodate two valence states without the help
     of d orbitals for handling the hypervalent case.)
 2.  The quantum mechanical model for MNDO and AM1 (and PM3) is
     identical.  The only differences in the methods are, that due
     to limtations in computer time, the lighter elements in MNDO
     had active two assumption:
        A. The Slater orbital exponent for s and p orbitals were
           close enough to be set equal (zetas and zetap).
        B. The beta values for s and p orbitals of the lighter
           elements are also set equal.  These are used in a
           function that results in the resonance integral, and is
           hence responsible for bonding.
     (For a detailed discussion of the MNDO/PM3/AM1 parameterization
     model see: Dewar, M. J. S.; Thiel, W. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 1977,
     99, 4907.)  Both of these have been allowed to attain different
     values in AM1 and PM3.  Additionally, AM1 and PM3 added gaussian
     functions to directly correct the core-core repulsion function.
     It must be emphaiszed that gaussians are a purely empirical
     correction, and are in programmer's terms, a PATCH.  They hold
     no chemical significance in and of themselves.  The Dewar group
     has traditionally used gaussians to correct for particular
     types of molecules or effects.  These include particular
     bond energies (Al-Cl), hypervalency (P, S), minimal basis set,
     and/or the lack of d orbitals.  Gaussians must be added very
     carefully, as they effect the energy in a direct manner
     and will "drag" the other parameters during
     procedure is best, followed by careful optimization.  A stepwise
     examination of the results after each parameterization run.
     To summarize:  Gaussians should not be part of the CHEMISTRY of
     the system, but should act to correct the parameters for the
     specific deficiencies mentioned above.
 3.  PM3 was parameterized using a vast amount of experimental data,
     and many elements were parameterized simulateneously.  For
     the most part, AM1 and MNDO parameterization proceeded one
     element at a time using only a SUBSET of the BEST data for a
     parameterization basis.  By carefully selecting the mole-
     cules used in the basis set, it is possible to reproduce the
     important and significant chemistry of an element.  By using
     ALL experimental data of any quality, the parameterization
     becomes a prisoner to more easily obtained experimental data.
     This is most evident in the plethora of data available for
     halogenated molecules and the relative paucity of results for
     organometallic compounds.  Chemical judgement must be used
     to balance the molecular basis against this type in influence.
     When I joined the Dewar group in 1987, I moved into an office
     with a sign that said "Human Factors" on the door.  It took me
     some time to realize that this was not a computer nerd
     joke, but a philosophical statement.
 The above points are both philosophical and practical.  Given the
 manner in which PM3 was parameterized and the results of the par-
 ameterization, I am doubtful of its utility as a quantum chemical
 model for general application.  As an example of what can happen,
 The parameters for aluminum are compared across the three methods.
 I am using aluminum, because I developed the AM1 parameters for this
 element and I am most familiar with it.  Similar trends can be
 found in many of the other PM3 elements.
 	Parameter	AM1	  MNDO	       PM3      Units
         -----------------------------------------------------
 	Uss        -24.353585  -23.807097  -24.845404    eV
 	Upp        -18.363645  -17.519878  -22.264159    eV
 	zetas  	     1.516593                1.702885    au
 	                      }  1.444161
 	zetap        1.306347                1.073269    au
 	betas       -3.866822               -0.594301    eV
 	                      } -2.670284
 	betap       -2.317146               -0.956550    eV
 	alpha        1.976586    1.868834    1.521073    1/A
 	Gaussians:
 	Intensity #1 0.090000       -       -0.473090    eV
 	Width #1    12.392443       -        1.915825    A^2
 	Position #1  2.050394       -        1.451728    A
 	Intensity #2    -           -       -0.154051    eV
 	Width #2        -           -        6.005086    A^2
 	Position        -           -        2.51997     A
      The point on the potential surface located by PM3 is
 significantly different than that located by AM1.  This is
 immediately apparent from the large discrepancy between the Upp
 values.  These are the important one-electron energy values and
 they have strong influence on the parameter hypersurface.  Also,
 the difference between Uss and Upp for both MNDO and AM1 is about
 6 eV (roughly the same value as for all elements on this period
 according to AM1/MNDO).  This has been reduced to 2.5 eV in PM3.
 The realdifficulty, however, is in the beta values.  These parameters
 are the two-center/one-electron resonance terms and are responsible
 for bonding interactions between atoms.  The PM3 values are
 almost zero, resulting in the conclusion that there is very
 little bonding between atoms of aluminum!  (Note that the
 AM1 values for betas and betap spread out around the single MNDO
 value for beta.  This suggests that the MNDO values were reasonable
 and AM1 simply adds greater flexibility.)  PM3 regains the bonding
 interactions lost due to the low beta values with two strongly
 attractive Gaussians spanning the bonding region.
      One result of such difficulties as discussed above is poor
 quantum mechanical descriptions of molecules.  A prime example is
 formamide. The PM3 parameters were developed with an eye toward
 reproducing -NO2 compounds, a somewhat severe test of such a min-
 imal basis set approach.  Focusing on these types of compounds has
 caused the parameters to perform somewhat oddly.
 Below is a table listing the charge on atoms in
 formamide as predicted by PM3 and AM1.  For purposes of
 comparison, also listed are charges from a Mulliken analysis at
 the HF/6-31G* level and NBO charges at the same level.  I have
 chosen to present this data because it such a finely tuned
 barometer of chemical significance.  The fact of the matter is
 that there is no real way to experimentally determine charge
 routinely, so this should conform to your chemical intuition more
 than anything else.
 Method      C      O      N      H      H(N)
 ----------------------------------------------
 AM1       0.26  -0.37  -0.45   0.12     0.22
 PM3       0.21  -0.37  -0.03   0.08     0.05
 Mullik.   0.67  -0.70  -0.93   0.12     0.41
 NBO       0.51  -0.55  -0.88   0.14     0.39
 Note that AM1 is in general qualitative agreement with the NBO
 (probably the most reliable in this set).  The PM3 charge on
 nitrogen is simply beyond any chemical reason.   The carbon
 and oxygen parameters appear to offer a good model.  Examination
 of the PM3 nitrogen parameters indicates several conceptual problems,
 such as p orbitals that are more contracted than s orbitals and very
 strong gaussians spanning the bonding range.  The overall heat
 of formation results for N are better in PM3 than in AM1, but the
 cost appears to be loss of an accurate chemical description of the
 electronic structure.
     Thus, the essence of the difference between the two philosophies
 can be directly stated:  the theoretical basis for the
 method is either accepted or denied.  Significant approximations
 are made to gain the speed advantage that semiempirical methods
 enjoy over their ab initio quantum mechanical brethren.  But both
 the ab initio and semiempirical models are finally, in the end
 based on the Hartree-Fock set of ideas.  These ideas
 possess theoretical rigor as regards solution of the Schrdinger
 Equation.  If one simply views the semiempirical parameters as
 adjustables within a curve-fit scheme rather than as components
 of a theoretical model, little faith resides in the meaning of
 their final values.  Simply put, the method of parameterization
 described above and used so successfully with AM1 and MNDO
 expresses confidence in the theory.  With a firmer footing in
 chemical reality, AM1 parameters are more likely to yield useful
 results for situations not specifically included in the parameter-
 ization.
 End of Sermon.  One of my colleagues that read this called it
 "preachy".
 I hope that it didn't come over too much that way.
 Dr. James J.P. Stewart of course has arguments to
 counter these and I hope that many of you are aware of them.  Every-
 one has an opinion and this is mine.  I hope that the above discourse
 is taken in the spirit of scientific disagreement as it is intended.
   Andy Holder
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                               DR. ANDREW HOLDER
              Assistant Professor of Computational/Organic Chemistry
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